Matched Betting Calculator
Calculate your exact lay stake and guaranteed profit for qualifying bets, free bets (SNR), and free bets (SR).
Advanced: Underlay / Overlay
0% = equal profit/loss regardless of outcome. Underlay shifts more profit to if the back bet wins. Overlay shifts more profit to if the lay bet wins.
Enter your bet details above to see results
Qualifying Loss
-$0.00
If Back Bet Wins
If Lay Bet Wins
Lay Stake
$0.00
Liability
$0.00
Conversion Rate
0%
How To Use This Calculator
- 1
Choose Your Mode
Select "Qualifying Bet" for sign-up offers where you need to place a real bet first. Select "Free Bet (SNR)" when using a free bet where the stake is not returned. Select "Free Bet (SR)" when the free bet stake is returned with winnings.
- 2
Enter the Back Stake
Type the amount you're placing (or the value of your free bet) at the bookmaker.
- 3
Enter the Back Odds
Enter the decimal odds from the bookmaker. For example, if the odds are 3.00, you'd win $150 from a $50 bet (including your stake back).
- 4
Enter the Lay Odds
Enter the decimal odds from the betting exchange (e.g. Betfair). These should be as close as possible to the back odds for the best result.
- 5
Check the Commission
The exchange commission defaults to 5% (Betfair's standard rate). Change this if your exchange charges a different rate.
- 6
Read the Results
The calculator shows your lay stake, liability, and the net result for both outcomes. For free bets, it also shows the conversion rate.
- 7
Place Your Bets
Place your back bet at the bookmaker and your lay bet at the exchange using the calculated lay stake. You're covered either way.
The Math Behind Matched Betting
Every matched bet has two sides: a back bet at the bookmaker and a lay bet at the exchange. If you're new to these concepts, our matched betting fundamentals guide walks through each step. The calculator finds the lay stake that balances both sides.
Qualifying Bet Formula
This formula minimises your qualifying loss by finding the lay stake that balances both outcomes as closely as possible.
Worked Example
| Back Stake | $50.00 |
| Back Odds | 3.00 |
| Lay Odds | 3.10 |
| Commission | 5% |
| Lay Stake | $50 × 3.00 ÷ (3.10 − 0.05) = $49.18 |
| Qualifying Loss | ≈ -$1.64 |
Free Bet (SNR) Formula
With SNR (Stake Not Returned), you only receive the profit from the back bet, not the stake itself. This is the most common type of free bet.
Worked Example
| Free Bet Value | $50.00 |
| Back Odds | 3.50 |
| Lay Odds | 3.60 |
| Commission | 5% |
| Lay Stake | $50 × 2.50 ÷ (3.60 − 0.05) = $35.21 |
| Guaranteed Profit | ≈ $33.45 |
Free Bet (SR) Formula
With SR (Stake Returned), you receive both the profit and the stake back. This gives a higher conversion rate. Uses the same formula as the qualifying bet but with no cost if the lay bet wins.
Understanding the Results
Lay Stake
The amount you need to place as a lay bet at the exchange. This is the key number you need to place your lay bet.
Liability
The maximum amount you could lose at the exchange if the back bet wins. This is Lay Stake × (Lay Odds − 1). You need this amount available in your exchange account.
Qualifying Loss
The small loss you accept on a qualifying bet. This is the "cost" of unlocking a free bet offer. Typically $1-3 for a $50 bet.
Guaranteed Profit
The minimum profit you'll make from a free bet, regardless of which outcome occurs. This is real money you keep.
Conversion Rate
The percentage of your free bet value that converts to real cash. For example, a 70% conversion rate on a $50 free bet means ~$35 profit. Higher odds generally give better conversion rates.
When To Use Each Mode
Qualifying Bet
When placing a real bet to unlock a free bet or bonus. See our matched betting concepts guide for a full breakdown.
Minimise the qualifying loss.
"Bet $50 and get a $50 free bet" - the initial $50 bet is the qualifying bet.
Free Bet (SNR)
When using a free bet where only the profit is paid out (most common).
Convert the free bet into guaranteed cash.
"$50 free bet" where a winning $50 bet at 3.00 returns $100 profit (not $150).
Free Bet (SR)
When using a free bet where the stake is also returned with winnings.
Convert more of the free bet into cash (higher conversion).
"$50 bonus bet" where a winning $50 bet at 3.00 returns $150 (profit + stake).
Advanced: Underlay vs Overlay
By default, the calculator balances both outcomes equally. The underlay/overlay slider lets you shift the risk distribution:
Underlay (Negative %)
Reduces your lay stake. You profit more if the back bet wins, but lose more if the lay bet wins. Useful when you believe the back bet has a good chance of winning.
Overlay (Positive %)
Increases your lay stake. You profit more if the lay bet wins, but lose more if the back bet wins. Useful when you want to guarantee more from the exchange side.
For beginners, we recommend leaving this at 0% to keep both outcomes balanced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is matched betting?
Is matched betting legal in Australia?
What does SNR mean?
What does SR mean?
What is a good conversion rate?
What exchange should I use?
Why are my lay odds higher than my back odds?
What is the qualifying loss?
How much money do I need to start?
Can I use this calculator on my phone?
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